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  1. #1
    BabaOriley's Avatar
    BabaOriley is offline Senior Member
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    Will the U.S. invade Iran?

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    Bush was quoted recently as saying "Iran armed with a nuclear weapon poses a grave threat to the security of the world". Like foreshadowing in a bad western, this is a sign of things to come. So will the U.S. and other nations invade Iran, and if so when? The U.S. is currently overstretched with the war in Iraq, so it would not be feasible now. But if they wait until 2008, it would be too late for the current administration to decide this.

    So will this happen?

  2. #2
    Skipper is offline Elite Member
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    nothing---

    pakistan and india both have nuclear weapons---they didnt stop them

    north korea has them and they havent stopped them


    skipper
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  3. #3
    BabaOriley's Avatar
    BabaOriley is offline Senior Member
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    The difference is Pakistan, India, and North Korea are much stronger nations than Iran, and the U.S. would have a very difficult time invading and winning a ground war with these countries. Iran is smaller and weaker.
    Last edited by BabaOriley; 01-14-2006 at 08:10 AM.

  4. #4
    jpryor's Avatar
    jpryor is offline Senior Member 510 points
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    Perhaps a better question would be whether Ahmadinejad will be as feckless as Hussein.
    Life is sexually transmitted.

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    Rico's Avatar
    Rico is offline Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by BabaOriley
    The difference is Pakistan, India, and North Korea are much stronger nations than Iran, and the U.S. would have a very difficult time invading and winning a ground war with these countries. Iran is smaller and weaker.
    Hey Buddy,

    It sounds you don;t have enough information about Iran, Middle East and these countries.

    1- US didn't attack North Korea, because he would have had to pass China, and US doesn't want to get involved with China for Political and Economical reasons. So he asked Korea and China to intervene and solve the problem.

    2- Pakistan and India are having a hard time inside the countries. Population crisis, bribery and poverty are killing these countries. They are not a strong nation at all. They get their gas from Iran, cuz they have almost no gas or oil by themselves.

    Iran: The 3rd lagest Oil producer in the World. Very rich in gas, oil, and mines.

    Iran's defence System: In Iran, there are 5 different groups to protect outside war and 2 for inside.
    Beside Army ( that we only have in the US ), they have Military, Special Commanders, Sepah, and Basij.

    Weapons:Two years ago, they made missle, whcih can travel up to 2200 KM ( Distance between Iran and Israel is almost 2000 KM )

    2 weeks ago, they bougth the newest missles made by Russian for $700M.
    last week they purchased new weapons from Austia. and besides, they make their own weapons based on their technologies.

    So, they don't even need to make and use nuclear weapon to protect themselves.

    Iran's population: almost 70 M where as Iraq was around 20 M.

    Geography: Almost impossible to attack Iran from North and South because of the sea. From West, they have to pass Iran-Iraq border which has mountains ( Zagros Mountain) and I am sure Iranians know those area better to attack the U.S. U.S and their allied would have had a hard time passing those mountains.

    From East, Pakistan and Afganistan gotta help them out which I doubt they would.

    So the easiest way to attack is ground-to-ground missle.

    So the question is since the U.S is far far away, which country would have let the U.S to put their soldiers to stay in their countries. Cuz for every missle they shoot to Iran, they are gonna get one if not two.

    As for UN, if they enfoce the sanction, if Iran stops giving oil to OPEC just for a month, I am sure the gas price in the U.S will be at least $10 per gallon and that would have an impact on the whole market.

    The war is not as easy as you think.

    Don't listen to the Media like CNN and Fox news. they turn the stuff around all the time and give wrong information to the nation.

    Check out the video of the song : where is the love " by black eyed peas.

    Rico
    Last edited by Rico; 01-14-2006 at 08:57 AM.

  6. #6
    Skipper is offline Elite Member
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    thx Rico you said what i dont have time to type

    skipper
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  7. #7
    Skipper is offline Elite Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by BabaOriley
    The difference is Pakistan, India, and North Korea are much stronger nations than Iran, and the U.S. would have a very difficult time invading and winning a ground war with these countries. Iran is smaller and weaker.
    iran out of those 3 is the strongest---3rd largest oil producer

    N. Korea depends on food and fuel china

    pakistan and india both have millions of straving and hunger people---they spent all their money on their nuclear program---neither one has any major exports except for cheap products

    the only reason pakistan is getting good treatment from the US is because the US is allowed to search for bin lade in the pak/afghan border

    skipper
    11 months until the end of PGY 3
    President and Dean of--
    Skipper's Medical Univeristy of the Dutch West Indies--SMU-DWI
    Apply Now.....Get an MD in 6 Weeks....
    If you fail at AUC, SGU, or Ross why not transfer to SMU, if you fail at SMU, why not try another SMU.

  8. #8
    Scott1981's Avatar
    Scott1981 is offline Super Moderator 10511 points
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    the problem is that time is not on our side.
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  9. #9
    Cal454 is offline Member 510 points
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    My guess

    Tuff question this is my predictions,
    No, the USA will not invade Iran, but may attack. The military is already stretched thin, the deficit is large, and the president would not have the necessary support for an all out invasion. Also, the US dollar is weak, thus foreign countries have become more hesitant to buy the debt (this deficient spending would finance the war).
    If there were no time restraints the US would simply support a more favorable group that operates within the country and help them in over throwing the current administration.
    Because of the apparent time restraints, the US may attack the nuclear sites with a pinpoint air assault, or may even leave it up to Israel. Of course China will be notified in advance and guarantees will be made that their source of oil will not be damaged. Most key allies will be notified in advance and indiscrete; thus they will be able to condemn the attack publicly. This will ensure that the allies retain popular support within their countries. For their corporation China and Russia will be given first crack at access to oil and lucrative contracts to supply upgraded weapons to Iran. Again, this is only a guess I think could be possible.
    Last edited by Cal454; 01-14-2006 at 11:13 AM.

  10. #10
    The Trifling Jester's Avatar
    The Trifling Jester is offline Member 510 points
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    Oh please. Impossible to attack from the north or south because of the sea? Gimmie a break.

    The worst case scenario is that we have Israel do our dirty work for us and bomb their reactors and whatnot. It's not like that hasn't happened before, "Sepah and Basij" notwithstanding.

    -The Trifling Jester

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