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Behavioral Chat transcript: Epi and biostats
01/17/05 14:10:21 malak1993 Logs in
01/17/05 14:11:29 malak1993 Logs Out 01/17/05 14:59:02 usmle_guy Logs in 01/17/05 14:59:03 usmle_guy Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:02:07 clover Logs in 01/17/05 15:02:07 clover Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:02:18 clover Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 15:02:53 clover: the usmle step 1 chat is in the step 1 chat room at 3 pm eastern....right? 01/17/05 15:02:58 clover Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:03:13 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi clover 01/17/05 15:03:28 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hey usmle_guy 01/17/05 15:03:32 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: how are you? 01/17/05 15:03:43 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: good. how about you? 01/17/05 15:03:53 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: i'm good too. thanks. 01/17/05 15:04:12 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: did the time change for the chats? 01/17/05 15:04:26 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: not sure. haven't seen roxanita for a while 01/17/05 15:04:41 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i tried to send her a PM and didnt get a reply yet 01/17/05 15:04:57 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hope she is ok 01/17/05 15:05:10 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: me too. i'm worried about her 01/17/05 15:08:49 zoya Logs in 01/17/05 15:08:50 zoya Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:09:04 mick Logs in 01/17/05 15:09:11 mick Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:09:12 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: hi 01/17/05 15:09:18 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi zoya 01/17/05 15:09:25 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: how are you? 01/17/05 15:09:36 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hello zoya and mick 01/17/05 15:09:50 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: good; how are you? 01/17/05 15:10:00 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: hi everyone 01/17/05 15:10:08 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: good 01/17/05 15:10:16 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi mick 01/17/05 15:10:50 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: have you heard anything from rox? 01/17/05 15:10:54 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: new here. mind if i just observe today? 01/17/05 15:11:12 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i tried to write to her, but she didn't reply 01/17/05 15:11:46 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: oh 01/17/05 15:11:56 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: mick, feel free to observe or join in whenever you're ready. no rush 01/17/05 15:12:04 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: thanks 01/17/05 15:12:29 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: sure 01/17/05 15:12:54 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: so the chats are still on 3pm 01/17/05 15:13:05 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i guess we should probably assume that she wont be here at this time at least. should we change the time or leave it as is, or keep trying to contact her? 01/17/05 15:13:56 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: i think the chats used to be at 8pm before and more people participated 01/17/05 15:14:19 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: night time is better for me personally, but i'll go with the majority 01/17/05 15:14:41 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: i want to join the chats , but because of the timing most of the time i am not able to... 01/17/05 15:15:01 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: what is a good time for you zoya? 01/17/05 15:16:09 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: any time after 6 01/17/05 15:17:25 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: sounds good to me. i think that 8 or 8:30 is better because some people are on the west coast 01/17/05 15:18:45 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: do you all want to try to change it to 8 pm? 01/17/05 15:18:55 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: i wanted to ask rox first .............but i heard her father had an accident .....that might be the reason she is not able to join. 01/17/05 15:19:20 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i hope he is ok. 01/17/05 15:19:28 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: but if all of you think its ok to change the time then its fine with me 01/17/05 15:19:45 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: me too 01/17/05 15:19:56 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i wanted to ask rox first too, but we haven't been able to contact her for the past couple of weeks 01/17/05 15:20:12 zoya Logs Out 01/17/05 15:20:43 zoya Logs in 01/17/05 15:20:48 zoya Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:21:01 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: welcome back 01/17/05 15:21:12 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: yeah 01/17/05 15:21:32 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: but i missed what you were saying 01/17/05 15:21:46 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: ok, lets post something on the forum and see if we get a decent response 01/17/05 15:21:54 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: for the time change 01/17/05 15:22:02 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 15:22:25 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: since we're already here, we can go over todays topic 01/17/05 15:22:31 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: ok 01/17/05 15:22:46 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 15:22:53 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: Epidemiology Statistics 01/17/05 15:23:24 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: what is incidence vs prevalence? 01/17/05 15:23:50 zoya Logs Out 01/17/05 15:23:56 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: incidence are new events and prevalence are the total events 01/17/05 15:24:10 zoya Logs in 01/17/05 15:24:15 zoya Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:24:41 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: thats right. incidence=new, prevalence=all 01/17/05 15:25:13 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: i keep getting disconected and missing the previous messages 01/17/05 15:25:50 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: the question was the difference between incidence and prevalence. answer was new vs all 01/17/05 15:26:03 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: oh,thanks 01/17/05 15:26:10 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: what happens to incidence and prevalence in the following? new effective treatment initiated? 01/17/05 15:26:34 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: prev goes down 01/17/05 15:26:40 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: incidence same prevalence goes down 01/17/05 15:26:51 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, both right 01/17/05 15:26:51 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: no change in incidence 01/17/05 15:27:08 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: new effective vaccine? 01/17/05 15:27:21 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: both go down 01/17/05 15:27:42 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: both goes down 01/17/05 15:27:58 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: both correct again 01/17/05 15:28:01 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: number of persons dying from condition increase? 01/17/05 15:28:20 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: prevalence goes down. incidence same 01/17/05 15:28:41 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: rt 01/17/05 15:28:58 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: correct 01/17/05 15:29:01 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: additional research dollars targeted to specific condition? 01/17/05 15:29:21 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: no change in either 01/17/05 15:29:25 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: no change in either one...i think 01/17/05 15:29:33 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: thats right 01/17/05 15:29:53 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: behavioral risk factors reduced in population 01/17/05 15:30:06 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: both go down 01/17/05 15:30:15 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: rt 01/17/05 15:30:24 bharatjoker Logs in 01/17/05 15:30:33 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: correct 01/17/05 15:31:01 bharatjoker Logs Out 01/17/05 15:31:17 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: contacts between infected and non-infected persons reduced for airborne infectous diseases? for non-infectious diseases? (separate questions) 01/17/05 15:32:01 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: for infectious then they would both go down. but if non infectious anyway, i dont think it would change 01/17/05 15:32:30 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: rt 01/17/05 15:32:41 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: correct 01/17/05 15:33:02 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: long term survival rates for disease are increasing? 01/17/05 15:33:30 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: incidence is same and prevalence would go up....is that possible?? 01/17/05 15:33:58 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: prev inc but no change in incidence 01/17/05 15:34:24 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: this is the only one where you actually see the prevalence increasing because more people are living with the disease 01/17/05 15:34:47 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: that about covers incidence and prevalence 01/17/05 15:35:08 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: whats the formula for sensitivity? 01/17/05 15:35:15 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: mortality rate refers to incidence /prevalance? 01/17/05 15:35:33 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: mortality refers to incidence only 01/17/05 15:35:41 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: incidence 01/17/05 15:35:41 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: yes 01/17/05 15:36:10 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: sensitivity = TP/TP+FN 01/17/05 15:36:28 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: tp/tp+fn 01/17/05 15:36:33 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes. what about for specificity? 01/17/05 15:36:50 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: TN/TN+FP 01/17/05 15:36:57 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: tn/tn+fp 01/17/05 15:37:12 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes. what about positive predictive value? 01/17/05 15:37:26 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: TP/TP+FP 01/17/05 15:37:50 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: tp?tp+fp 01/17/05 15:37:59 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes. what about negative predictive value? 01/17/05 15:38:10 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: TN/TN+FN 01/17/05 15:38:24 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: tn/tn+fn 01/17/05 15:38:44 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes 01/17/05 15:39:05 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: accuracy? 01/17/05 15:39:44 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: test measures what it was intended to measure 01/17/05 15:40:16 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: the bullseye on a target 01/17/05 15:40:39 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: yes 01/17/05 15:40:51 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: formulla? 01/17/05 15:41:06 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: if you hit the bullseye, its accurate. if you consistently hit the same group of shots outside of the bullseye, its reliable, but not accurate 01/17/05 15:41:18 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: yes 01/17/05 15:41:50 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: formula for accuracy?? i didnt know there was one?? 01/17/05 15:42:36 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i dont know that one either 01/17/05 15:42:56 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: tp+tn/tp+tn+fp+fn 01/17/05 15:43:22 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: kap,page 7 01/17/05 15:43:44 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: oh, ok. i found it 01/17/05 15:44:05 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: thanks 01/17/05 15:44:28 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: you are welcome 01/17/05 15:44:37 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: what is meant by condounding? 01/17/05 15:44:52 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: more than one explanation 01/17/05 15:45:15 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: confounding? 01/17/05 15:47:52 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes, confounding means that many different explanations can explain the results. like obesity can be due to genetic factors, diet, lack of exercise. not any one cause, but many possible causes 01/17/05 15:48:34 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: yes,nice example 01/17/05 15:49:31 mmw Logs in 01/17/05 15:49:32 mmw Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:49:38 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: when dealing with observational studies, which is for the present time (prevalence), which is for retrospective, and which is prospective? 3 different answers? 01/17/05 15:49:54 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi mmw. good to see you 01/17/05 15:50:01 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hello mmw 01/17/05 15:50:07 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: hi mmw 01/17/05 15:50:25 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: hi usmle_guy clover zoya 01/17/05 15:50:34 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: how r u all guys 01/17/05 15:50:35 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: how are you doing/ 01/17/05 15:51:00 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: good, how about you? 01/17/05 15:51:12 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: better now but i have been checking this forum everyday and i could'nt find any of u 01/17/05 15:51:17 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: hi mmw 01/17/05 15:51:28 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: hi mick 01/17/05 15:51:59 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: we were thinking about changing it to 8 pm instead because many of us have trouble making it at 3 01/17/05 15:52:21 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: would that time be ok with you? 01/17/05 15:52:24 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: i did not study for nearly a week i just come and check u 01/17/05 15:52:35 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: yes for me is ok for any time 01/17/05 15:53:15 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i posted something in the forum so hopefully we'll be able to get it changed so that we can get the whole group going again 01/17/05 15:53:48 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: if u come for everyday it's ok we can chat everyday what about for the others 01/17/05 15:53:49 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: so what about tomorrow? 01/17/05 15:53:51 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: yes 01/17/05 15:54:29 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i hope everyone will read the forum by tomorrow. we can change it for tomorrow if everyone is ok with it 01/17/05 15:54:30 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: what is the toopics and did u all finish patho? 01/17/05 15:54:49 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 15:55:03 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: no .........ididn't 01/17/05 15:55:17 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: for me ok 01/17/05 15:55:19 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: the topic for this week is behavioral. i guess we can go back to path after we finish the schedule so that we dont mess it up. what do you think? 01/17/05 15:55:35 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: ok for me too 01/17/05 15:55:37 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 15:55:40 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: yeh 01/17/05 15:55:46 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: good 01/17/05 15:56:00 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: i'm just ovserving, but i'll be here tomorrow at 8 if that is what is better for all 01/17/05 15:56:29 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: what is the topic of ** for tomorrow? 01/17/05 15:56:29 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: you are welcome mick 01/17/05 15:56:49 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: today is Epidemiology Statistics 01/17/05 15:56:51 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: epidemiology and stat 01/17/05 15:56:55 tampa Logs in 01/17/05 15:57:04 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: tomorrow is Social Life in the US Substance Abuse Human Sexuality 01/17/05 15:57:17 saghar Logs in 01/17/05 15:57:23 mick Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 15:57:43 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: i follow today with all of u cause i did'nt prepared for today what about tomorrow? 01/17/05 15:57:45 saghar Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:57:49 mick: if you are here for step 1, its in the step 1 room 01/17/05 15:57:52 tampa Logs Out 01/17/05 15:57:54 mick Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:57:56 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: ok 01/17/05 15:58:18 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi saghar 01/17/05 15:58:22 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: Hi 01/17/05 15:58:28 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hello saghar 01/17/05 15:58:34 tampa Logs in 01/17/05 15:58:35 tampa Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 15:58:35 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: Hi everybody 01/17/05 15:58:44 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: hi 01/17/05 15:58:48 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: hi 01/17/05 15:58:52 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: hello 01/17/05 15:58:55 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I thought the today's chat about **, isn't it? 01/17/05 15:59:03 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: hello tampa 01/17/05 15:59:07 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: hi 01/17/05 15:59:09 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: hi tampa 01/17/05 15:59:29 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: seems nothing going on... 01/17/05 15:59:29 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, epidemiology and biostats 01/17/05 15:59:30 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: hi tampa sagar 01/17/05 15:59:35 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: cross sectional -prev, case- control is retro, cohort is prospective. 01/17/05 15:59:41 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: what has happened with the transcripts from previous chats 01/17/05 15:59:41 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: hi tampa 01/17/05 15:59:48 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: hi 01/17/05 15:59:49 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: hi saghar 01/17/05 15:59:50 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I thought it started at 3 ES time 01/17/05 16:00:18 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: previous chats are lost because the rox has had some personal problems to deal with 01/17/05 16:00:37 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I don't know about the transcripts, after patho neoplasia it stopped.. 01/17/05 16:00:58 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: we are trying to move the chats to night time. is 8 pm eastern ok with the people who just came in? 01/17/05 16:01:11 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: oh no I am at work and cant stay long. So I am better off reading the transcripts 01/17/05 16:01:12 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: i don't think there were any chats after that. 01/17/05 16:01:12 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: and I checked here everyday, but there was no chats!! 01/17/05 16:01:35 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: 8 will be great for me 01/17/05 16:01:43 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: that's fine with me too..... 01/17/05 16:02:10 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, rox is the coordinator, but she has had personal issue to deal with and hasn't been able to make it. so the chats have been unorganized over the past week or so 01/17/05 16:02:28 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: so the only chats for path were until neoplasia? 01/17/05 16:02:50 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: So are you guys going to have chat tonight? 01/17/05 16:02:57 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: from tomorrow onward, lets all try to get the word out that the time is moved to 8 pm eastern time so that we can get the big group going again 01/17/05 16:02:58 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: yes 01/17/05 16:03:08 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: ok 01/17/05 16:03:15 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: fine 01/17/05 16:03:21 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: no some other chats, but nobody posted the transcripts 01/17/05 16:03:28 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: going with which schedule? 01/17/05 16:03:31 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: what is the subject? 01/17/05 16:03:40 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: epidemio and biostat? 01/17/05 16:03:49 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: mmw have you heard anything from rox? 01/17/05 16:03:50 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: not tonight. we are already chatting today (now), so we start again tomorrow at 8 pm easten 01/17/05 16:04:08 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: ok, thanks. 01/17/05 16:04:15 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: no i am still waiting for rox 01/17/05 16:04:30 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: oh 01/17/05 16:04:48 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I saw here once in prep4usmle forum. 01/17/05 16:04:57 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I mean I saw rox there. 01/17/05 16:05:03 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 16:05:04 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: today (now) is epi and stats. tomorrow is Social Life in the US Substance Abuse Human Sexuality at 8 pm. everyday after that is the schedule that is posted, except at 8 pm eastern instead of 3 01/17/05 16:05:37 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 16:05:52 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: ok, got ya.. 01/17/05 16:06:16 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: should we continue with epi? 01/17/05 16:06:23 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: so today will be ok 01/17/05 16:06:35 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: I guess.. 01/17/05 16:06:45 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes please repost last question. 01/17/05 16:07:43 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: what is epidemiology? 01/17/05 16:07:51 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: when dealing with observational studies, which is for present, which is retrospective, which is for prospective? 3 separate answers. 01/17/05 16:08:21 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: epidemiology is a part of behavioral dealing with the overall statistics of a population 01/17/05 16:08:30 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: case control retro , cohort prospective 01/17/05 16:09:14 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: case control sounds like "damage control", so retrospective. cross section is present. cohort is prospective 01/17/05 16:09:24 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: agree 01/17/05 16:09:39 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, thats correct. 01/17/05 16:09:40 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: present: cross sectional, retrospective: case control, prospective: cohort, rite? 01/17/05 16:09:47 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: agree 01/17/05 16:10:16 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: can you explain cross sectional........its not clear to me 01/17/05 16:11:34 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: cross sectional is the present or prevalence. if i asked "how many are tired right now?". this would be an example because it deals with those tired at the present moment 01/17/05 16:11:40 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: i cant stay, but I will join in tomorrow at 8!!! Will this chat be posted as transcript 01/17/05 16:12:00 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, i will post the transcript for today 01/17/05 16:12:08 [USMLE_Step_1] tampa: thanks 01/17/05 16:12:15 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: thanks usmle 01/17/05 16:12:24 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: no problem. see you tomorrow tampa 01/17/05 16:12:46 tampa Logs Out 01/17/05 16:13:05 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: when you talk about "odd ratio", which study is this associated with? 01/17/05 16:13:22 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: what is hawthorne effect? 01/17/05 16:13:35 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: cohort 01/17/05 16:13:38 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: odds ratio is assoc with case control or retrospective 01/17/05 16:13:43 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: case control 01/17/05 16:13:52 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: case control 01/17/05 16:14:10 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: sorry relative risk is used for cohort study 01/17/05 16:14:18 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: retrospective and causuality 01/17/05 16:14:20 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: it's case control 01/17/05 16:14:31 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: its the odds of getting a disease with exposure to suspected cause and associated with case control. very good 01/17/05 16:16:00 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: of the following, t test, anova, chi sq, which checks differences between the means of 2 groups? 01/17/05 16:16:18 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: t-test 01/17/05 16:16:39 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: t-test 01/17/05 16:16:44 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: t-test 01/17/05 16:16:48 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: mneumonic is "mr. T is mean" 01/17/05 16:16:52 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: mr T is mean 01/17/05 16:16:59 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: yes 01/17/05 16:17:09 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yep 01/17/05 16:17:18 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: which one to copare percentages 01/17/05 16:17:24 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: chi 01/17/05 16:17:32 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: agree 01/17/05 16:17:34 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: chi squared 01/17/05 16:17:49 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yep 01/17/05 16:18:33 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: what kind of bias when knowledge of presence of disorder alters recall by subjects? 01/17/05 16:18:48 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: recall bias?? 01/17/05 16:18:52 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: recall bias 01/17/05 16:19:01 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: recall? 01/17/05 16:19:14 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yep. sorry, i put "recall" in question by mistake 01/17/05 16:19:49 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: information gathered an inappropriate time what bias? 01/17/05 16:20:06 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: late-look bias 01/17/05 16:20:11 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: late look 01/17/05 16:20:19 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: yes 01/17/05 16:20:37 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: what about when subjects are not representative? 01/17/05 16:20:52 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: substance choose groups bias? 01/17/05 16:20:58 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: darn, did it again :< 01/17/05 16:20:59 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: selectionbias 01/17/05 16:21:41 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: nevermind, i didnt hit the send button lol 01/17/05 16:22:12 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: its sampling bias. selection is when the subjects choose the groups 01/17/05 16:23:41 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: selection i think causse sampling is subs r not representatiove therefore the results r not generalized 01/17/05 16:23:42 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: isn't selection and sampling bias the same? 01/17/05 16:23:58 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: what percentage of cases are within 2 standard deviations of the mean in a normal distribution? 01/17/05 16:24:04 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: that's what I thought.. 01/17/05 16:24:25 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: 95.5% 01/17/05 16:24:43 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: dunno 01/17/05 16:25:06 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: 95.5% 01/17/05 16:25:14 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: i think they are the same, but not sure 01/17/05 16:25:27 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: agree, 95.5% 01/17/05 16:25:38 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, 95.5% 01/17/05 16:25:42 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ok 01/17/05 16:26:12 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: what about 2 standard deviations ABOVE the mean? 01/17/05 16:26:45 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: 47.5%? 01/17/05 16:26:52 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: i meant within 2 SD above mean 01/17/05 16:27:25 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes, 47.5 is correct. very good. most have trouble with that concept 01/17/05 16:27:44 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: thats right 01/17/05 16:27:51 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: rt 01/17/05 16:27:56 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: how do u calculate those i don't understand 01/17/05 16:28:19 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: refer to the nl dostribution graph on page 20 of kaplan 01/17/05 16:28:28 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: mmw, do you have a pic of the normal curve with the percentages? 01/17/05 16:28:53 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: i will go and check now 01/17/05 16:28:55 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: 34% one SD above plus 13.5 % for the second SD above the mean equals to 47.5% 01/17/05 16:29:42 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: above the mean on positive side 01/17/05 16:29:53 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: oh ok i got it 01/17/05 16:30:23 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: check out this thread with great question and explanation. great visuals too http://www.valuemd.com/ftopic10278.html 01/17/05 16:30:47 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: thanks million i have to read it again cause i did not study recently 01/17/05 16:31:31 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: ok gotya 01/17/05 16:31:35 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: thats a very high yield concept that we should all learn cold because very likely to see on exam 01/17/05 16:32:24 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: if we increase the upper limit normal of a test reference interval what happens to sens and spec? 01/17/05 16:34:10 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: like we increase the ref interval of a test from 4 to 10? 01/17/05 16:34:15 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: if increase the upper limit of normal, i think it would decrease sens and increase specificiy 01/17/05 16:34:27 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: less sensitivity but morespecificity 01/17/05 16:34:35 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: correct 01/17/05 16:35:31 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: now what happens to PPV and NPV? 01/17/05 16:36:20 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: ppv inc and npv dec? 01/17/05 16:36:29 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: NPV would dec and PPV would inc 01/17/05 16:37:01 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: right, ppv increases and NPP dec. 01/17/05 16:37:14 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i think that the common example is the recent (few years ago) lowering of fasting glucose level for diagnosing diabetes mellitus from >140 to >126. what effect on sens and spec, NPV, PPV? 01/17/05 16:38:08 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: sen and NPP increases, spec and PPV decreses 01/17/05 16:38:21 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: sens inc, spec dec 01/17/05 16:38:44 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: agree to saghar 01/17/05 16:38:47 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: agree 01/17/05 16:38:50 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ppv inc 01/17/05 16:39:02 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: opps sorry 01/17/05 16:39:03 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: this is the opposite of saghars example because you would be DECREASING the upper limit in this case, so an increase in sens and NPV, and a dec in spec and PPV. very good 01/17/05 16:39:20 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: ppv dec 01/17/05 16:39:32 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: thats right zoya 01/17/05 16:39:49 maceiro33 Logs in 01/17/05 16:40:32 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: vaccination is an example of what type of disease prevention? primary, secondary or tertiary? 01/17/05 16:40:46 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: primary 01/17/05 16:40:57 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: primary 01/17/05 16:41:56 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yes. what about exogenous insulin for diabetes? what about a pap smear? 01/17/05 16:42:16 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: pap is secondary, insulin is tertiary 01/17/05 16:42:27 maceiro33: Hello some have been taken the CS , I need some experience 01/17/05 16:42:29 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: agree with usmle_guy 01/17/05 16:43:09 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yep, thats right 01/17/05 16:43:17 mick Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 16:43:44 mick: maceriro, if your looking for step 1 chat, its in the step 1 room 01/17/05 16:43:51 mick Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 16:44:52 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: which hypothesis, null or alternative, says that the findings are the result of chance or random factors? 01/17/05 16:45:08 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: null 01/17/05 16:45:15 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: null 01/17/05 16:45:17 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: null 01/17/05 16:45:18 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: null 01/17/05 16:45:27 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: correct all 01/17/05 16:45:47 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: disease and risk have no relation right? in null 01/17/05 16:45:55 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: rite 01/17/05 16:46:22 maceiro33: No, I said Clinical Skill The previoUS CSA, iN Atlanta , or Chicago. 01/17/05 16:46:25 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: thats right. it means its by chance 01/17/05 16:46:35 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: if the disease and risk factor have little relation what ? 01/17/05 16:46:45 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: alternative 01/17/05 16:46:59 pharmacology Logs in 01/17/05 16:47:10 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: or H1 01/17/05 16:47:26 maceiro33 Joins Subroom Clinical_Skills 01/17/05 16:47:32 pharmacology Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 16:47:36 pharmacology Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 16:47:53 pharmacology: I think you have to click on USMLE_Step 1 01/17/05 16:48:00 [Clinical_Skills] maceiro33: Hello somo information regarding Clinical Skill 01/17/05 16:48:00 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: you mean if it has little statistical significance? 01/17/05 16:48:09 pharmacology: You are in the main room 01/17/05 16:48:25 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: assume that a test has a highest sensetivity, what happens to prevalence? 01/17/05 16:48:25 pharmacology Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 16:48:30 pharmacology Joins Subroom USMLE_Step_1 01/17/05 16:48:40 pharmacology Leaves Subroom 01/17/05 16:49:01 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: so lots of people have the disease, so i guess that prevalence would increase?? 01/17/05 16:49:22 pharmacology Logs Out 01/17/05 16:49:27 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: that right,prevalence inc, good job ! 01/17/05 16:50:13 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: when you fail to reject the null hypothesis when it is really true, what type of error is this? 1 or 2? 01/17/05 16:50:25 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: 2 01/17/05 16:50:47 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: type II 01/17/05 16:50:56 [USMLE_Step_1] mick: type II 01/17/05 16:51:11 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: yep, type 2 01/17/05 16:51:13 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: is it 1? 01/17/05 16:51:36 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: sorry,i was gone for awhile............i have to go now bye everyone 01/17/05 16:51:50 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: bye, see u later 01/17/05 16:51:51 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: see you all tomoorow 01/17/05 16:51:55 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: bye zoya. see you tomorrow at 8 01/17/05 16:51:58 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: oh yes i did not see fail to reject 01/17/05 16:52:05 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: bye zoya 01/17/05 16:52:18 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: bye zoya see u tomorrrow 01/17/05 16:52:38 [USMLE_Step_1] zoya: bye 01/17/05 16:52:40 zoya Logs Out 01/17/05 16:52:58 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: i think we covered alot today. unless anyone has anything specific?? so next chat is tomorrow at 8 pm eastern instead of 3....spread the word 01/17/05 16:53:34 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: ok, good to see the chat going strong again. see everyone tomorrow night 01/17/05 16:53:38 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: ok usmle 01/17/05 16:53:56 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: alright, thanks for the qs, see you all tomorrow. bye...... 01/17/05 16:53:57 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: r u going to post todays 01/17/05 16:54:19 [USMLE_Step_1] usmle_guy: yes, i'll post the transcript. study hard and see everyone tomorrow 01/17/05 16:54:32 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: see u all tomorrow guys take care 01/17/05 16:54:38 [USMLE_Step_1] mmw: thanks 01/17/05 16:54:50 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: tomorrows topics from ** are Tuesday Jan 18 Social Life in the US Substance Abuse Human Sexuality 01/17/05 16:54:55 [USMLE_Step_1] clover: bye 01/17/05 16:55:05 [USMLE_Step_1] saghar: bye 01/17/05 16:55:09 saghar Logs Out |
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